Posts Tagged Affordable Health Choices Act
BO/Joint Committee on Taxation Release Preliminary Cost Estimate of H.R. 3200, America’s Affordable Health Choices Act
Posted by Editor in Healthcare News, Healthcare Reform on July 19th, 2009
Senate HELP Committee Passes Affordable Health Choices Act
Posted by Editor in Healthcare Policy, Healthcare Reform on July 15th, 2009
House Tri-Committee Bill, America’s Affordable Health Choices Act
Posted by Editor in Healthcare News, Healthcare Policy, Healthcare Reform on July 14th, 2009
Healthcare Reform or BBRA 97 Redux?
Posted by Hal Andrews in Healthcare Policy, Healthcare Reform on July 2nd, 2009
As reported earlier today by Roll Call and as set forth in the CBO’s Estimate of the Cost of Senate HELP Bill, the Congressional Budget Office has scored the cost of the Senate HELP Committee’s mark-up of the proposed Affordable Health Choices Act at $611B, a significant decrease from the $1T estimate on June 15.
Based on the CBO’s letter, the “savings” result primarily from (a) reducing the threshold for subsidies for families and individuals under health insurance exchanges from 500% to 400% of the federal poverty level, and (b) reducing the amount of the subsidies for those who qualify.
What has not changed from the June 15 CBO estimate to today’s estimate is that a substantial number of Americans would remain uninsured. The most favorable year under the revised bill is 2016, when “only” 32M people would remain uninsured.
Most providers that I know continue to take a wait-and-see approach on this front. I believe that the continuing skepticism over the implementation of a public plan is likely to reinforce this stance. In turn, I continue to believe that the provider community remains at substantial risk, but not where they think.
There is just not a way to implement a true “public option” and remain budget neutral without taxing employer-sponsored healthcare, and even Senator Baucus has clearly indicated that he will not cross the unions on that issue. Assuming that the Senate Republicans and 2-3 moderate Democrats hold fast against a “public option” and that the CBO continues to provide unbiased analysis, it seems likely that the “public option” will fail, especially if the most robust bill leaves more than 30M people uninsured.
As such, it is very possible that comprehensive healthcare reform will fail but payment reforms will become law. Said another way, it appears to me that the providers may make real and permanent sacrifices, while other stakeholders will be minimally harmed.
Perhaps I am overly cynical, but I think it is a little too convenient that the CBO has scored the cost of the Senate HELP bill at precisely the amount of reimbursement cuts that President Obama has proposed for providers. For those who lived through BBRA 97, it will hurt twice as bad.

